Circle the Wagons!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (6 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 2
Defender wins (Italian/Eritrean): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 1000 | 53% | 2025-12-06 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1000 | 49% | 2023-09-24 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-07-21 | | Lost |
| 1076 | 1014 | 59% | 2022-05-28 | | Tied |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2022-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1137 | 1001 | 69% | 2022-04-16 | | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1021.3 vs 1002.5 has a 52.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).