Circle the Wagons!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (6 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 2
Defender wins (Italian/Eritrean): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1095 | 1109 | 48% | 2025-12-06 | Lost |
| 993 | 973 | 53% | 2023-09-24 | Lost |
| 948 | 973 | 46% | 2023-07-21 | Lost |
| 1037 | 998 | 56% | 2022-05-28 | Tied |
| 973 | 1015 | 44% | 2022-05-19 | Lost |
| 1056 | 976 | 61% | 2022-04-16 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1017 vs 1007.3 has a 51.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).