Confusion Reigns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (10 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 8
Defender wins (German): 18
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1085 | 966 | 66% | 2026-03-03 | D | Won |
| 952 | 1133 | 26% | 2026-01-18 | | Lost |
| 847 | 984 | 31% | 2025-08-27 | | Won |
| 967 | 1108 | 31% | 2024-12-05 | | Won |
| 970 | 1028 | 42% | 2023-07-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2023-05-28 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2023-05-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1182 | 26% | 2023-04-02 | | Lost |
| 1182 | 1000 | 74% | 2023-04-02 | | Won |
| 692 | 1000 | 15% | 2023-01-13 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 977.5 vs 1048.1 has a 39.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).