Confusion Reigns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (11 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (German): 17
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1007 | 54% | 2026-03-03 | Won |
| 982 | 1123 | 31% | 2026-01-18 | Lost |
| 875 | 984 | 35% | 2025-08-27 | Won |
| 1002 | 1040 | 45% | 2024-12-05 | Won |
| 970 | 1028 | 42% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 1124 | 1019 | 65% | 2023-05-28 | Won |
| 1019 | 1124 | 35% | 2023-05-28 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1218 | 26% | 2023-04-02 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1039 | 74% | 2023-04-02 | Won |
| 1165 | 1012 | 71% | 2023-03-16 | Won |
| 756 | 1031 | 17% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1017 vs 1056.8 has a 44.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).