Confusion Reigns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 875 | 997 | 33% | 2025-08-27 | Won |
| 914 | 1118 | 24% | 2024-12-05 | Won |
| 970 | 1028 | 42% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 1110 | 1028 | 62% | 2023-05-28 | Won |
| 1028 | 1110 | 38% | 2023-05-28 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1180 | 57% | 2023-04-02 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1228 | 43% | 2023-04-02 | Won |
| 1177 | 947 | 79% | 2023-03-16 | Won |
| 729 | 790 | 41% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1023.4 vs 1047.3 has a 46.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).