Confusion Reigns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (10 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 947 | 1164 | 22% | 2026-01-18 | Lost |
| 875 | 997 | 33% | 2025-08-27 | Won |
| 1012 | 1086 | 40% | 2024-12-05 | Won |
| 970 | 1028 | 42% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 1124 | 1054 | 60% | 2023-05-28 | Won |
| 1054 | 1124 | 40% | 2023-05-28 | Lost |
| 1211 | 1218 | 49% | 2023-04-02 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1211 | 51% | 2023-04-02 | Won |
| 1228 | 991 | 80% | 2023-03-16 | Won |
| 756 | 1068 | 14% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1039.5 vs 1094.1 has a 42.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).