Confusion Reigns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 8
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 875 | 997 | 33% | 2025-08-27 | Won |
| 941 | 1073 | 32% | 2024-12-05 | Won |
| 970 | 1028 | 42% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 1110 | 1010 | 64% | 2023-05-28 | Won |
| 1010 | 1110 | 36% | 2023-05-28 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1180 | 57% | 2023-04-02 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1228 | 43% | 2023-04-02 | Won |
| 1206 | 1026 | 74% | 2023-03-16 | Won |
| 756 | 1068 | 14% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1030.7 vs 1080 has a 42.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).