Hot Tigers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (11 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1025 | 1000 | 54% | 2025-08-22 | | Lost |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2024-09-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2024-07-27 | | Won |
| 1211 | 996 | 78% | 2024-07-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 996 | 51% | 2024-05-29 | | Won |
| 699 | 979 | 17% | 2024-05-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1139 | 31% | 2024-05-25 | | Lost |
| 1152 | 1127 | 54% | 2024-05-24 | | Won |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2024-02-02 | | Lost |
| 943 | 1028 | 38% | 2024-02-02 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2023-11-04 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1019.2 vs 1034.6 has a 47.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).