Black Devils of Bure
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Canadian): 13
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Canadian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 1205 | 19% | 2026-10-10 | A | Lost |
| 1211 | 1131 | 61% | 2026-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1196 | 1000 | 76% | 2026-09-02 | | Won |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2026-08-22 | | Lost |
| 938 | 1310 | 11% | 2026-07-14 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1145 | 48% | 2026-07-13 | | Won |
| 1153 | 1053 | 64% | 2026-06-15 | | Lost |
| 994 | 1157 | 28% | 2026-05-30 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2026-05-17 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1059.7 vs 1111.2 has a 42.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).